In Mozambique, Ansar al Sunnah continue to gradually increase the frequency of attacks against civilians and security forces in the North. © 2020 BlackRock, Inc. All rights reserved. They foster inter-group hatred perhaps in ways that nothing else can; they change the course of wars. 2020 geopolitical calendar Encyclopedia Geopolitica readers have access to a 30-day free trial for Kindle Unlimited, allowing them to sample over 1 million ebooks and thousands of audiobooks. With a full year of geopolitical events slated for 2020, consider watching ETF activity to provide insight into market sentiment. As a result, its geopolitical shifts in the year to come will not go unnoticed. , the buildup of NATO forces is ongoing, while the Kremlin has responded in kind inside the Kaliningrad oblast and Russia itself. Neighbouring Mali and the wider Sahel have become of increasing importance to French and U.S. counterterrorism missions as a result of the extremism and exploitation that has taken root in the region’s sovereignty vacuum. For better understanding of the issue, the following are well worth reading: Despite celebrating its 70th anniversary this year, the People’s Republic of China has been dealing with its fair share of problems, none of which seem likely to disappear in 2020. Understanding the mechanics of civil unrest will be critical for geopolitics watchers in 2020. Both books show young Western actors on a fracturing stage, and provide a warning to history against the failure to consider that the hardest part of any campaign begins after you have won. In 2020, the U.S. Presidential election will be mired in innuendo and false narratives … Emma Sky’s The Unravelling is perfect to follow up to Generation Kill. As a fascinating 2019 comes to a conclusion, we at Encyclopedia Geopolitica expect that 2020 will present us with another exciting year from the geopolitical perspective. This book discusses Central Asia not as a realm separate from the globalisation and progress of the 21st century, but as one where globalisation has planted its flag most strongly, and is beginning to antagonise the latent forces of radical Islam. In researching the book, the author has interviewed Indian policymakers to gain deeper knowledge of the complex issues at play, and hence this book represents not just the personal view of the author, but an insight into the Indian geopolitical mindset. This and other information can be found in the Funds' prospectuses or, if available, the summary prospectuses, which may be obtained by visiting the iShares Fund and BlackRock Fund prospectus pages. President Bolsonaro, who is already struggling in his attempt to tackle endemic corruption and economic strife, is particularly concerned about the loss of an economic ally in Argentina, and the increasing vulnerability of a second in Chile. Many problems had been left to fester in the year since Mahdi took charge, and the next Prime Minister will need to tread incredibly carefully and heed warnings that the swamp from which ISIS grew has not been drained. Blaber does an excellent job of sharing his personal experiences in ‘the Unit’ without disclosing operational details and blends it with one of his guiding principles he refers to multiple times in his book. France’s Gilets Jaunes movement have paralysed much of the country on a regular basis, drawing extensive tax concessions and tempering reformist President Emmanuel Macron’s plan to radically reshape the French economy. The theme of Power looks at India’s imagination of soft and hard power, and how it plays a role with its relations vis-a-vis its immediate neighbours. The same can be said about China and Brexit. The European Union is also continuing to push legislation on military cooperation forward in response to the combined threat of a resurgent Russia and an inwardly-focused and more volatile US administration. For its part, the United States’ regional engagement has appeared lacklustre at times, especially at the senior levels. Despite the abrupt drop in Jihadi terrorism-related deaths in Europe in recent years, Islam and migration-related issues continue to be heavily scrutinised from a security and political perspectiv… To better understand the history and situation of Taipei and Beijing’s relationship, the following are suggested: China’s “One Belt, One Road” (OBOR) plan to revive the ancient trade routes of the Silk Road for the modern world continue despite economic uncertainty and debt-trap concerns amongst Beijing’s “partner” nations. The following are worth reading for an understanding of a potentially significant flashpoint for the coming year: of the would-be Islamic State Caliphate, including the targeted killing of its leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi at the hands of US Special Forces in Syria. Europe in 2019 has continued to experience the increasing stresses of demographic changes and immigration; an issue that has been leveraged heavily by the continent’s political right and continues to influence elections and referendums. To Russia’s West in the Baltics, the buildup of NATO forces is ongoing, while the Kremlin has responded in kind inside the Kaliningrad oblast and Russia itself. Seemingly bizarre examples – the Crusades, the British Empire, the breakup of the Beatles, Charles Manson, and the founding of the United States – are explored through the lens of political risk analysis in a manner that should remain interesting for both novice readers and analysis veterans. Show Events Search Events Search. Russia is its own entity in the world – neither European nor Asian, neither modern nor ancient. Freedman charts the course of the conflict, from its turbulent beginnings of pressure on former President Yanukovych to turn away from Europe, to the failure of the Minsk peace process and how domestic politics developed, both in Ukraine and in Russia. The Mission, The Men, and Me (Pete Blaber). The European Union is also continuing to push legislation on military cooperation forward in response to the combined threat of a resurgent Russia and an inwardly-focused and more volatile US administration. 2020 Location Event; November: November 21-22: G20, Saudi Arabia: G20 meeting: December: December 10: Euro area: European Central Bank meeting* December 16: U.S. Federal Reserve meeting: December 31: Europe: German EU presidency ends: What is 2020 likely to mean for the financial markets? These operations have been on display in Crimea, Moldova, and Montenegro, and have extended even to major democracies such as France the United Kingdom, and the United States. Values in Foreign Policy (Krishnan Srinivasan et al). Permeating throughout the book is the context of President Putin’s strategy to support the separatist movements in the Donbas while attempting to keep Ukraine’s potential allies distracted with internal issues. On the contrary, although most Southeast Asian nations strongly wish to avoid choosing sides between the two main powers, unless the US ups its game and applies its diplomatic weight more skilfully this coming year will see parts of Southeast Asia slowly sliding ever closer towards China. As this list contains a staggering 210 books, it is worth considering Amazon’s Kindle “Unlimited” programme as a more cost-effective way to get through the reading list. Assad has all but won in Syria and the international community and his own people are coming to terms with it. As this list contains a staggering 210 books, it may be worth considering Amazon’s Kindle “Unlimited” programme as a more cost-effective way to get through the reading list. Increasingly, investors are also using ETF options - both to express views and gauge market sentiment ahead of and during political events. As the modern centre of global geopolitcal power, the United States of America has continued unsurprisingly to overwhelm geopolitical discourse in 2019. Changing Security Dynamics in East Asia: A Post-US Regional Order in the Making? Cooley and Heathershaw shed light on the mystery and reveal just how connected with the world this isolated region really is. All the while, the profiteers of the cities’ parallel and shadow economies will only watch with indifference. As time passes, the event is slowly forgotten, and the gradual evolution of history is something you get used to. Disclosure: Purchases made using the links in this article earn referral payments for Encyclopedia Geopolitica. Geopolitical Futures. Austin, Texas, United States About Blog Your source for what matters in the … iShares insights help deliver thought leadership and fund insights for your portfolio decisions. Disinformation. Manufacturing Consent: The Political Economy of the Mass Media (Edward S. Herman & Noam Chomsky). Copies of this document may be obtained from your broker, from any exchange on which options are traded or by contacting The Options Clearing Corporation, One North Wacker Dr., Suite 500, Chicago, IL 60606 (1-888-678-4667). With the departure of the ever-resistant UK, Brussels is likely to continue towards building a more integrated European Army in 2020. An understanding of the inner workings of the Gulf States, as well as their own foreign policy dynamics will be extremely useful in 2019: Most interesting of the region’s recent developments has been the slow but steady sense of rapprochement between Israel and several of the Gulf states. Events for November 2020. Our contributors include Military officers, Geopolitical Intelligence analysts, Corporate Security professionals, Government officials, Academics and Journalists from around the globe. With the trade war with China ongoing and an election year ahead, it looks highly unlikely that this year will see any attempts at renewed US leadership in the region. Turkey – Kurdish Regional Government Relations After the U.S. Withdrawal from Iraq: Putting the Kurds on the Map? From the stalled-but-ever-bloody war in Yemen to counter Iran-backed Houthi rebels, to their efforts to expand a presence across the Horn of Africa while building up their own military capabilities, the wealthy Gulf States appear to be scrambling to cement their own power in their near abroad. More Stories It is the equivalent of one third of the estimated number of people killed by lightning each year. As a sequel to his seminal ‘The Shield of Achilles‘, which sets out a comprehensive theory of the state and history, Bobbitt applies this theory to the phenomenon of terrorism, natural disasters, and the proliferation of WMD. The herculean economic tasks he has set himself will only grow larger as public patience thins, and Brazil could begin to see more major protests of its own. While the UAE has long been exploring Israeli arms purchases, and the two states have cautiously seen each other as potential security partners against a resurgent Iran since at least 2009, we are now witnessing increasing levels of diplomatic openness between Abu Dhabi and Tel Aviv. All other marks are the property of their respective owners. Looking ahead to the 2020s: geopolitical crisis, strategy and security. The recent withdrawal of the US military from Syrian Rojava has left the Kurdish people – who long played the bloody role of the principal resistance against the Islamic State – vulnerable and betrayed. Increasingly, investors are also using ETF options - both to express views and gauge market sentiment ahead of and during political events. Lewis Tallon – Chief Editor and EMEA Analyst. International Law and the Post-Soviet Space II: Essays on Ukraine, Intervention, and Non-Proliferation (Thomas D. Grant). Online (GMT) 20th November 2020. Across Central & South Asia and Africa, Chinese infrastructure projects continue to develop while little by little, small contingents of Chinese security forces are deployed in force-protection roles, garnering much suspicion along the way. As an independent publication, our writers are volunteers from within the professional geopolitical intelligence community, and referrals like this support our ability to create future content by funding server time and domain fees. Editor’s note: While Dr Rogers is far too humble to put forward his own work for our reading list, his latest work alongside Professor of War Studies Caroline Kennedy-Pipe is due for release in 2020 (following a nail-biting delay for those of us keen to read it!). The first examines the existence of ‘Asian Values’, and the second how these relate to ‘Western Values,’ i.e. The following are the team’s recommendations of regionally-focused books worth reading to get ahead of the major events and geopolitical movements that we anticipate will shape 2020: Europe in 2019 has continued to experience the increasing stresses of demographic changes and immigration; an issue that has been leveraged heavily by the continent’s political right and continues to influence elections and referendums. The international community also seems to be finally waking up to the situation in Xinjiang and the treatment of Muslim Uighurs, and protests in Hong Kong against mainland interference have raged since June and show no sign of stopping. Taken as a whole, this number is striking, but taken as a yearly average – around 1,800 globally – it could be described as comparatively insignificant. Both Iraq and Syria are fractured and poor after years of brutal conflict, both have a high youth unemployment rate, a dissatisfied population, and poor infrastructure. Highly conservative forms of Islam are widespread across the region, and local-issue insurgencies often intertwine themselves with the ideology of jihad. The following are recommended for understanding the key players in the White House: In addition to the turbulent administration, increasingly stressed internal divisions have gripped America in 2019, and will almost certainly continue to deepen in the coming year. 2020 should see the transition period of the UK’s departure begin, and will almost certainly be a determining watershed for the following decades of British domestic and international geopolitics, and as such the following books are worthwhile reads for understanding the factors that have driven this situation: One of the most interesting developments of recent years has been the growing EU-US geopolitical rift, driven by myriad factors but most notably by strains placed upon the traditional closeness by a volatile US administration and scrutiny of the NATO alliance. Search. The Sahel will likely continue to pose problems in 2020 as the region remains a gateway to the EU for both migrants and terrorist groups. The Funds are distributed by BlackRock Investments, LLC (together with its affiliates, "BlackRock"). Showing the interplay of commerce and war-fighting at sea through history, he weaves that into prescriptive goals for seagoing nations in the near future. Leaders across the continent of South America, however, will no doubt have found it more chilling. Events Search and Views Navigation. In the current era of populism, Trump, Brexit, Le Pen, and Five-Star, this is a lesson of crucial importance. Event has taken place Wednesday 13 February 2019. * European Central Bank meetings shown are those accompanied by press conferences. The following are worth reading for an understanding of a potentially significant flashpoint for the coming year: The Middle East and North Africa region has dominated headlines in 2019, as one of the most geopolitically tense theatres, and this is unlikely to change in the coming year. They will be able to provide you with balanced options education and tools to assist you with your iShares options questions and trading. Arundel House. In November 2016, American citizens first heard the term “hybrid warfare” in relation to Russia and the US presidential election. The former (since made into an excellent HBO television series) is a visceral, often darkly funny account of the USMC entering Iraq and conducting rapid combined arms manoeuvres. The symbiotic relationship between economics and geopolitics remains increasingly relevant in M&A transactions. Radical Right-Wing Populist Parties in Western Europe: Into the Mainstream? Despite their best efforts to self-advertise, however, they remain fully contained within the more remote parts of Cabo Delgado province, and any support from central Islamic State leadership – to which they swear allegiance – is highly unlikely to grow into genuine operational assistance. International investing involves risks, including risks related to foreign currency, limited liquidity, less government regulation and the possibility of substantial volatility due to adverse political, economic or other developments. What often is forgotten are the individuals at the heart of these protests, the men and women whose daily lives are at the forefront of why they choose to demonstrate on the street. Election Year and impeachment politics will have a significant effect on the apolitical services, and may drive some unpredictable military operations. Sir Lawrence Freedman, Emeritus Professor at King’s College London, provides the authoritative account of the conflict that erupted after the EuroMaidan revolution in February 2014. The following is a report summarizing an event on the conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh between Armenia and Azerbaijan, featuring: Aaron Stein, Director of Research at the Foreign Policy Research Institute; Maia Otarashvili, Deputy Director of the Eurasia Program at the Foreign Policy Research Institute; Robert E. Hamilton, Black Sea Fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute; … Whether this view is correct or not, the continuing use of SOF has raised their profile and, with a public driven to know more about them, have spawned a genre of books written about or even by Special Operators, with varying degrees of accuracy and quality. The foll. One of the more concrete features of the strategy – the rejuvenation of security cooperation between the so-called “Quad” of the US, Japan, Australia and India – has its own issues as China’s economic influence provides plenty of reason for three of its members to feel conflicted. As the title aptly suggests, the book has three main themes.